The statistic is based on “What’s the chance Biden would have won the four states if a) the preferences of the 2020 electorate were just like those of the 2016 electorate and b) the voters whose votes were counted late were just like those whose votes were counted early, when Trump seemed to be ahead.”
Obviously not the case. Yet, this was included as evidence for SCOTUS in the Paxton case. Is it any wonder that courts threw these cases out 50+ times. Yet I’m sure lots of folks will say that math backed up the data. Can anyone say autogolpe?