I didn’t get my copy. WTH?

McIntyre on IPCC AR6 WG1

Something strange is going on at the IPCC.

I normally get a prepublication copy of the IPCC assessment report first order draft by way of Christopher Moncton. The report is scheduled for release in February 2022, so I expected my copy sometime this fall.

But the IPCC AR6 WG1 report (scientific basis) has been selectively released to various news organizations.

This is NEVER done, as the Working Group papers are subject to editing to conform with the Summary for Policy Makers. (No kidding, the opinion of the scientists is normally edited to conform with the politically negotiated Summary)

On first glance, early release(6 months) of the Working Group 1 report would seem to be a good thing, as we are getting the opinion of scientists before it is rewritten by the political appointees. But sadly, it appears to have already been politicized and released early to influence a coming negotiation.

The new IPCC AR6 WG1 paper includes (surprise) a Hockey Stick graph. The Climate Audit article above chronicles the multiple statistical abuses. Thousands of proxies were filtered down to 692, and 257 of those were chosen for use. The selection process is outlined in McIntyre’s excruciating detail in the article. but a statement by IPCC author Rosanne d’Arrigo says it all, “if you want to make cherry pie, you first have to pick cherries.”

If the IPCC would just drop the hyperbole, we could discuss our choices rationally, but instead, they create boogeymen to frighten us.

“The whole aim of practical politics”, wrote HL Mencken, “is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, most of them imaginary.”