Tucker Carlson had a segment on this CDC study Tuesday night. The segment followed The Federalist narrative linked above fairly closely, right down to including Dr. Redfield’s goofy video clip claiming that face masks are better than vaccines in preventing the spread of Covid-19.
The base claim of the story is that most people in the study who got sick with Covid-19 were people who “always” wore masks (more than 70%). You might assume that these results are evidence that masks don’t work. But that’s not quite right.
What the study actually suggests is that mask mandates as public policy may not be effective. That is, you can’t draw a straight line between the presumed effectiveness of individual mask use and the measurable effectiveness of community mask use.
This is a surprising result. You would think that a technology that works for one person must work for a group of people. Not in this case. Expanding the “one-person model” to a “community model” apparently introduces new factors and new variables that should change our expectations.
It remains for science to confirm the study results. In the meantime, it is humbling to contemplate that “a virus is gonna ‘virus'” no matter what public policy says.