The University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) has been sited by the WH quite a bit.
Apparently a new influx of data shows a potential drop in the number of deaths and the number of ventilators needed.
If their modeling is as good as it appears to have been thus far, this is potentially good news. BUT an overreaction to it could turn it all back around. “Though the update of the model appears to be good news, at least for now, (IHME Director Dr. Christopher) Murray counseled caution. “If social-distancing measures are relaxed or not implemented, the U.S. will see greater death tolls, the death peak will be later, the burden on hospitals will be much greater, and the economic costs will continue to grow,” he said.