Lessons From the U.S. Civil War Show Why Ukraine Can’t Win | Opinion

Source: Newsweek.

I am reluctant to share this opinion piece because the source is a fringe, pro-Russian outlet and the writers lack credibility.

Nevertheless, the piece substantiates my view that Ukraine cannot win its war with Russia. Any sober military analysis must arrive at the same conclusion.

It is for this very reason that the war itself is dangerous for the whole world and must end. The risk of escalation is too great.

19 thoughts on “Lessons From the U.S. Civil War Show Why Ukraine Can’t Win | Opinion

  1. And Vietnam could not defeat the United States and Afghanistan could not defeat Russia.

    The authors’ argument from analogy is superficially reasonable but it glosses over the many differences between this war and the American Civil War.

    Wars are won be people willing to put their life on the line for a cause they believe in. Russia is finding it very difficult to find such people. For very obvious reasons.

    https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1706076/putin-russia-mutiny-ukraine-war-partial-mobilisation-defence-ministry-detention-centre

    Liked by 1 person

    1. RE: “Wars are won be people willing to put their life on the line for a cause they believe in. Russia is finding it very difficult to find such people. For very obvious reasons.”

      I doubt that Russia is finding it difficult to enlist qualified soldiers. Douglas Macgregor, another pro-Russian westerner with questionable credentials has pointed out that Russia’s recent mobilization of 300,000 reservists also produced 80,000 volunteers.

      Even if 1,000 Russian soldiers mutiny on the battlefield, the percentage is inconsequential.

      Like

      1. “Even if 1,000 Russian soldiers mutiny on the battlefield, the percentage is inconsequential.”

        I think most objective observers would see widespread mutiny as a very serious military problem. Similarly, hundreds of thousands fleeing the country rather than serve is a sign of a people who really don’t want this fight. For obvious reasons.

        Liked by 1 person

  2. Ukraine’s cheerleaders will never be convinced. Neither will Biden as Ukraine most certainly has the goods to get him impeached.

    So it comes down to how badly Russia wants to win.

    And how severe the coming Winter is in Europe.

    I see signs of loss of support for the war here in the US as well as in Europe. We should never have intervened in a war between thugs, and we should, for the sake of the Ukrainian people, abandon the mess as soon as the Russians agree to return to their original demands of a non-Nato Ukraine and repatriation of the Crimea and the Donbass to Russia.

    That’s the best deal Ukraine is going to get.

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    1. “Neither will Biden as Ukraine most certainly has the goods to get him impeached.”

      So you keep saying without a shred of evidence or even any ability to state – WITHOUT LYING – what the impeachable offense might be. What a marvelous example of a MAGA-Republican you provide! I was going to say “jackass” but why be uncivil when “MAGA-Republican” will do?

      In case you missed it, our policy with respect to Putin’s illegal war of aggression has been confirmed by overwhelming votes in the House and Senate.

      Liked by 1 person

    2. RE: “…we should, for the sake of the Ukrainian people, abandon the mess as soon as the Russians agree to return to their original demands of a non-NATO Ukraine and repatriation of the Crimea and the Donbass to Russia.”

      That’s reasonable. Russia’s stated goals are to de-militarize and de-nazify Ukraine. The proposal might allow them to claim sufficient success in those aims to allow a resolution.

      At the same time, I think Russia probably wants Odessa, Kerson and Karkiv, too.

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      1. “Russia’s stated goals are to de-militarize and de-nazify Ukraine.”

        And the only way to do that is to commitmawwivewara crimes, attack civilian infrastructure and population centers.

        Rah freakin’ rah, Vlad’s by. You go. To hell.

        The Russians are never going to agree to return anything. The Ukrainians will continue to fight for their freedoms. While dolts like you and Don rant about how it is a bad idea to support an ally.

        Russia wants Ukraine gone. They were no threat to Russian sovereignty. You love your bullies. It is obvious. Trump and Putin are two of the biggest on the planet these days. And they appear to be heroes to you.

        Liked by 1 person

    3. …”Ukraine most certainly has the goods to get him impeached.”

      You really need to just stop posting this kind of malarkey without proof. It completely blows any kind of credibility you might have.

      Like

    4. War between thugs? Just because YOU disapprove of Zelensky, who was doing everything in his power to protect his nation’s sovereignty from aggressors shipped in prior to his electoral victory and not giving in to BS demands of a loser POTUS is no reason to refer to him a a thug.

      There is ONE thug, ONE bad guy in this. And his name is Vladimir Putin.

      Liked by 1 person

        1. Your description of Putin is pretty accurate. THe difference is that Zelensky is doing everything he can to prevent his country from becoming Putin’s Bitch. Political parties that are started and supported by your invading neighbor SHOULD be banned. Churches that are providing information to the enemy SHOULD be closed and those running them asked to leave. And journalists who are feeding the Kremlin propaganda BS train should be imprisoned.

          Until YOU are invaded, you should not judge those who have been.

          Liked by 1 person

          1. Make that before the war. One bullets start flying and people are left to die in mud, speech becomes muted. Something the ignorant wanting or threatening civil war fail to understand.

            There is something about watching your family blown to pieces that hardens a person.

            Liked by 2 people

          2. “On the contrary, that is when it is most needed.”

            Baloney.
            What is most needed when an invader is attacking your country is resolve and unity of purpose. Anyone undermining that is bringing “aid and comfort” to the enemy. Something that we formally define as treason.

            Liked by 1 person

  3. Having visited fredricksburg and chancellorsville civil war battlefield museums recently, I see broad similarities between the Civil War and ukraine. In both the invaded attempts to earn the hearts of the citizens while the invader scorche’s earth. Union soldiers cleaned all buildings of all personal belongings and either stole them or burned them in the street leaving nothing behind after confederates helped citizens escape. Russia follows this same tactic. The invaded victoriously repel the invaders against all odds but in the end the larger better equipped invaders ultimately win. The difference is the south had the brilliance of Lee, Ukraine has stooge Biden in its pocket for cash.

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  4. …” Ukraine has stooge Biden in its pocket for cash.”

    You were making some interesting observations. But then you had to go stupid and say something not even remotely based in fact.

    However, the bigger difference between our own Civil War and the Russian invasion of Ukraine is that the US Civil War was to keep the republic. The Russian invasion of Ukraine is to destroy the country.

    And Lee STILL lost.

    Liked by 1 person

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