https://arxiv.org/abs/2209.10751
This is a new study confirming what has been very apparent since the beginning of the Covid pandemic. Republicans have been killing themselves with silly partisan stupidity about public health measures. The study found not much difference between Republicans and Democrats UNTIL vaccines became widely available. From that point on the registered Republican’s risk of death has climbed substantially above that of the registered Democrat. Before the vaccines the excess death rate for Republicans was 1.6% above Democrats. After the vaccines that excess climbed to 10.4% higher.
No individual Republican is doomed by these findings. All you have to do is get vaccinated.
Not peer reviewed. Ignore it.
LikeLike
Well, since Republicans are, on average older and male, that doesn’t mean much.
I wouldn’t take it seriously until the statisticians have reviewed it.
That doesn’t mean I don’t support vaccination, I got my bi-valent booster Monday.
LikeLike
“Well, since Republicans are, on average older and male, that doesn’t mean much.”
The authors believe they have eliminated other variables. The startling increase in the disparity once vaccines became available leaves little room for doubt that it is silly anti-science bias in the GOP that is reducing their vaccination rates and increasing their mortality.
LikeLiked by 1 person
DO they know that the excess deaths are by COVID?
I don’t see cause of death in the article. only excess deaths
LikeLike
I think that an excess of deaths coinciding with a pandemic is safely assumed to be either directly or indirectly caused by the pandemic. As they explain, the data on actual individual causes of death is too sketchy.
LikeLiked by 1 person
Correlation does not imply causation.
Indirect causes of death during the pandemic, such as loss of access to regular health care caused by the lockdowns and precautions would not be prevented by vaccination. Other indirect causes would not be prevented by vaccination either.
Absent data showing preventable deaths by COVID itself, you can’t conclude that differences in vaccination made much difference. It might be true, but it might not.
I suspect that vaccine resistance among OLDER Republicans was much less than for the young and healthy.
LikeLike
Well, if it is not the virus, SOMETHING is killing off Republicans at a faster rate than it is killing Democrats. Maybe it just is old age since the GOP is a moribund party of old white men. But still, if it was just that, then the arrival of the vaccine would not cause the gap to widen.
We can dance around this all day but the fact that vaccination rates among Republicans has been lower than among Democrats is VERY likely to be the reason that Republicans are dying off faster than Democrats. As noted at the outset – Being a Republican is hazardous to your health.
LikeLiked by 1 person
RE: “the fact that vaccination rates among Republicans has been lower than among Democrats is VERY likely to be the reason that Republicans are dying off faster than Democrats”
Nope. The “fact” could very easily be random.
LikeLike
RE: “The startling increase in the disparity once vaccines became available leaves little room for doubt that it is silly anti-science bias in the GOP that is reducing their vaccination rates and increasing their mortality.”
Not really. “Anti-science bias in the GOP” was not directly examined in the study. The hypothesis tested states only that political affiliation is a potential risk factor for Covid-19. I doubt the paper proved its hypothesis, since the most it accomplishes is a correlation between vaccine availability and measured excess death rates by political affiliation.
As I recall, CDC’s guidelines for vaccination distribution were based on principles of racial equity. Since blacks are disproportionately Democrats, biased vaccine distribution patterns could account for the correlation the study claims to find.
I don’t plan to read beyond the abstract to find out, so feel free to argue the details. Even if it were true that political affiliation is a risk factor for Covid-19, so what?
LikeLike
“ The advertisement shows the hands of a white man in a plaid shirt reading and then crumpling up a job rejection letter while a voiceover says, “You needed that job, and you were the best qualified. But they had to give it to a minority because of a racial quota. Is that really fair?”
Jesse Helms infamous “White hands” ad
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hands_(advertisement)
Substitute “vaccine” for “job”.
Now do you have data that shows Republicans were denied vaccines due to race?
LikeLiked by 1 person
RE: “Now do you have data that shows Republicans were denied vaccines due to race?”
I don’t need it because I have not claimed that “Republicans were denied vaccines due to race.”
LikeLike
“As I recall, CDC’s guidelines for vaccination distribution were based on principles of racial equity. Since blacks are disproportionately Democrats, biased vaccine distribution patterns could account for the correlation the study claims to find.”
So what do you mean then?
LikeLiked by 1 person
Exactly what I wrote: “Biased vaccine distribution” does not equal vaccine denial.
LikeLike
“ …biased vaccine distribution patterns could account for the correlation the study claims to find.”
What correlation are you referring to?
LikeLiked by 1 person
The correlation between political affiliation and risk for Covid-19.
LikeLike
“Since blacks are disproportionately Democrats, biased vaccine distribution patterns could account for the correlation the study claims to find.”
Utter nonsense. The vaccines have gone begging except for the first month or two. The simple truth is that a greater percentage of Republicans have CHOSEN to remain unvaccinated.
You people are rich – you excuse Donald Trump’s abysmal pandemic record by saying that we have a large population of extra vulnerable people but when those extra vulnerable people get a slight priority for the first month or two of vaccine distribution you whip out your sad white victim card.
LikeLiked by 1 person
RE: “The simple truth is that a greater percentage of Republicans have CHOSEN to remain unvaccinated.”
Do you have a cite? Better yet, does your study isolate Republicn psychology as a factor affecting the correlation it finds?
RE: “when those extra vulnerable people get a slight priority for the first month or two of vaccine distribution you whip out your sad white victim card.”
No one is playing the victim card. Your study may support the hypothesis that political affiliation is a potential risk factor for Covid (though I doubt it), but the correlation could be the result of external factors the study doesn’t address.
LikeLike
I don’t know, it seems pretty close across the board mostly 60% to 70% total vaccinated by state, some coming in a little higher and some a little lower but nothing glaringly out of bounds. Blacks are mostly still trailing but have made good gains. Are the unvaccinated blacks the Republicans you speak of? Gosh, midterms will be a breeze for the GOP…
https://www.kff.org/other/state-indicator/percent-of-total-population-that-has-received-a-covid-19-vaccine-by-race-ethnicity/?currentTimeframe=0&sortModel=%7B%22colId%22:%22Location%22,%22sort%22:%22asc%22%7D
LikeLike
This link misses the point. The point is not about race, or state, or ethnicity. It is about being a Republican. Being a Republican is hazardous to your health because if you are a Republican you are far more likely to avoid vaccination.
Here are more relevant and current statistics where we see that STILL 30% of Republicans do not intend to get vaccinated. The corresponding figure for Democrats is 9%.
Scroll down to Demographic tracking and select Party.
https://morningconsult.com/covid19-vaccine-dashboard/
LikeLiked by 1 person
Perhaps you missed the point that my provided facts of vaccine participation by state that shows that there is not much if any difference by political party.
LikeLike
And pray tell why I or anyone should believe what Justine Coleman has to say. Who is Justine Coleman and what party do they belong to? My bets are Paul’s cousin and far left wing extremist. 🤣🤣🤣
LikeLike
That is a very silly response. Justine Coleman is simply reporting the results of Morning Consult’s polling. Here read it again. It is not all that hard to understand where these numbers are coming from . . .
“Morning Consult is conducting around 30,000 weekly survey interviews in the United States on the vaccine rollout, providing deep insights at a granular level into which segments of the population are most and least opposed to vaccinations, and what factors are driving skepticism. The latest data is based on surveys conducted from Sept. 6-12, 2022, among 29,565 U.S. adults, with a margin of error of +/- 0.6%. Updates will be provided monthly.”
LikeLiked by 1 person
I’ll say it again for better understanding, who is Justine Coleman? Better yet, who is Morning Consult and why should anyone believe what they have to say? They obviously have a leftwing political agenda, we don’t know what they asked, who they asked,how they determined the outcome or even if they asked anything atall. So, take it for granted I don’t buy left wing drivel.
LikeLike