Oh, my God!
But there’s not much ambiguity about this data point: In the service territory of Ballad Health in Southwest Virginia and eastern Tennessee, 91% of hospitalized patients are unvaccinated; 97% of COVID patients relying on ventilators are unvaccinated.
I’m tempted to run in circles/scream and shout over this revelation. But wait… How many of the hospitalized patients were hospitalized for Covid-19?
Let’s look at the John Hopkins tracker.
Currently, Virginia has
- 13,314 total patients in hospital
- 3,063 are Covid patients
- 10,251 are non-Covid patients
Clearly, knowing that 91% of 13,314 total patients are unvaccinated doesn’t tell us anything. What we really want to know is how many of the 3,063 Covid patients are vaccinated, but we can’t tell that from the data at hand.
Similarly, we’d like to know how many of the 3,063 current Covid patients are on ventilators.
Let’s look at some VDH numbers; they are pretty close to the John Hopkins tallies. VDH reports that 297 Covid patients are currently on ventilators. If 97% of them are unvaxxed, then 9 of the Covid patients on ventilators are vaxxed. That’s not inexplicable, but it does seem surprising.
All in all, I’d say Bacon’s Rebellion is overreacting. Its lecture that “liberty is not license” — meant to encourage vaccination through moral prodding — is unsubstantiated by BR’s own article.
Furthermore, it is wildly inaccurate to say that “Omicron is filling up Virginia hospitals,” as BR does. In fact (per Johns Hopkins), Virginia hospital capacity has remained pretty constant for more than a year, with the number of Covid patients fluctuating within a fairly narrow range.
Omicron may be displacing other variants of concern, but the big picture hasn’t changed much.