One of the more distressing consequences of the push for universal Covid-19 vaccination is the emergence of in-group/out-group thinking. The vaccinated became the cool people (in-group) and the unvaccinated became the uncool people (out-group). This is distressing because witch hunts, systemic prejudice and totalitarianism all begin with similar thought processes.
The instant report may help defuse the social psychology a bit by showing that the vaccinated can cause the same social problems as the unvaccinated:
The new analysis relies on the database of Maccabi Healthcare Services, which enrolls about 2.5 million Israelis. The study, led by Tal Patalon and Sivan Gazit at KSM, the system’s research and innovation arm, found in two analyses that people who were vaccinated in January and February were, in June, July, and the first half of August, six to 13 times more likely to get infected than unvaccinated people who were previously infected with the coronavirus. In one analysis, comparing more than 32,000 people in the health system, the risk of developing symptomatic COVID-19 was 27 times higher among the vaccinated, and the risk of hospitalization eight times higher.
This headline finding comes with significant caveats. Note, for example, that the comparison at hand is between vaccinated immunity and infected immunity, not between vaccination and the absence of vaccination. The finding is that natural immunity appears to be more robust than vaccinated immunity.
This result should change the Covid-19 narrative (and public policy) in significant ways. Simplistic in-group/out-group thinking no longer applies because the efficacy of natural immunity changes the categories. Where once we had vaccinated/unvaccinated groups, now we must account for:
- Naturally immune/vaccinated
- Naturally immune/unvaccinated
- Not-naturally immune/vaccinated
- Not-naturally immune/unvaccinated